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Red35
98820.1
615421.2
379422.1
Blue43
441526.2
551613.3
504923.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50492030406070803543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3794
#14
22.11.0
13.812.8
Auto8.6
Teleop8.8
End4.7
blue by 4.2
4415
#12
26.21.2
19.117.9
Auto7.3
Teleop15.9
End3.1
Second
6154
#40
21.26.8
21.214.4
Auto7.2
Teleop11.2
End2.7
blue by 2.4
5049
#28
23.61.4
14.312.9
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End2.2
Third
988
#37
20.11.2
16.715.5
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End0.9
red by 6.8
5516
#47
13.31.4
17.015.6
Auto2.6
Teleop10.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed