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Red79
480020.5
84242.8
298425.3
Blue117
166117.4
325540.2
214436.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6487020408010012014079117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#11
42.81.1
35.136.1
Auto10.1
Teleop26.4
End6.3
red by 2.6
40.23.0
35.438.4
Auto7.9
Teleop26.7
End5.6
Second
2984
#34
25.31.2
13.214.3
Auto9.3
Teleop13.1
End2.9
blue by 11.1
36.32.1
29.031.0
Auto7.8
Teleop23.9
End4.7
Third
4800
#39
20.51.4
17.719.2
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End3.9
red by 3.1
1661
#41
17.43.0
16.719.7
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned