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Red93
427633.9
312827.9
283921.6
Blue89
585132.3
298425.3
379422.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89662040801001201409389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.3
31.331.6
Auto11.4
Teleop16.9
End5.5
red by 1.6
5851
#21
32.31.4
29.731.1
Auto9.6
Teleop17.5
End5.2
Second
3128
#13
27.90.3
33.333.6
Auto6.1
Teleop18.7
End3.2
red by 2.6
2984
#34
25.31.4
17.418.8
Auto9.3
Teleop13.1
End2.9
Third
2839
#36
21.60.3
18.819.1
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End2.7
blue by 0.4
3794
#14
22.11.4
20.321.7
Auto8.6
Teleop8.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned18%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed