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Qual 532016 Las Vegas Regional
Red101
68727.7
504923.6
501233.8
Blue97
349132.2
519933.4
357717.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8579406010012010197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5012
#4
33.80.6
33.5→34.1
Auto9.9
Teleop17.3
End6.5
red by 0.4
5199
#17
33.41.0
34.1→35.1
Auto9.3
Teleop14.2
End9.9
Second
687
#26
27.70.6
26.5→27.1
Auto6.4
Teleop16.5
End4.7
blue by 4.5
3491
#20
32.21.6
23.7→25.3
Auto11.2
Teleop13.2
End7.8
Third
5049
#28
23.61.1
21.4→22.5
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End2.2
red by 5.9
3577
#43
17.71.0
19.5→20.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed