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Red104
301127.8
248635.2
504923.6
Blue90
349536.7
297226.7
254329.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8396406012014016010490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#15
35.21.4
34.936.4
Auto10.7
Teleop21.3
End3.2
blue by 1.6
36.70.4
37.437.0
Auto7.5
Teleop26.2
End3.0
Second
27.81.4
25.126.5
Auto11.0
Teleop13.4
End3.5
blue by 1.9
2543
#25
29.70.4
27.026.5
Auto6.4
Teleop18.5
End4.8
Third
5049
#28
23.62.2
22.524.7
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End2.2
blue by 3.1
2972
#29
26.70.4
27.326.9
Auto9.3
Teleop13.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed