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Red45
242915.6
548017.9
580022.4
Blue80
498424.5
379422.1
414118.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656740506080901001104580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5800
#33
22.41.9
24.422.4
Auto2.2
Teleop17.1
End3.1
blue by 2.1
4984
#23
24.50.4
24.825.2
Auto13.0
Teleop8.0
End3.4
Second
5480
#46
17.91.9
21.719.8
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End3.1
blue by 4.1
3794
#14
22.10.4
21.722.1
Auto8.6
Teleop8.8
End4.7
Third
2429
#45
15.61.2
17.516.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.8
End0.5
blue by 3.3
4141
#38
18.90.4
18.118.5
Auto6.3
Teleop11.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsMissed45%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed