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Red101
396529.2
582419.2
427633.9
Blue67
312827.9
504923.6
166117.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8677406010012014010167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.6
33.133.8
Auto11.4
Teleop16.9
End5.5
red by 6.0
3128
#13
27.90.9
31.630.7
Auto6.1
Teleop18.7
End3.2
Second
3965
#18
29.20.6
29.630.2
Auto8.9
Teleop16.0
End4.2
red by 5.6
5049
#28
23.61.2
25.624.4
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End2.2
Third
5824
#32
19.20.8
19.120.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End3.4
red by 1.8
1661
#41
17.40.9
18.517.6
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed