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Red74
551613.3
480020.5
586922.8
Blue86
501233.8
615421.2
59723.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5784020401001201407486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5869
#19
22.80.3
23.623.9
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.2
blue by 11.0
33.80.4
34.634.1
Auto9.9
Teleop17.3
End6.5
Second
4800
#39
20.50.4
20.520.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End3.9
blue by 3.4
597
#35
23.90.4
21.921.5
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End5.5
Third
5516
#47
13.30.4
15.315.7
Auto2.6
Teleop10.0
End0.7
blue by 7.9
6154
#40
21.20.6
21.120.5
Auto7.2
Teleop11.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed