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Red63
504923.6
580022.4
582419.2
Blue131
542933.1
6028.8
59723.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678505010015063131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5049
#28
23.60.8
24.423.6
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End2.2
blue by 9.5
5429
#16
33.13.0
31.834.8
Auto8.2
Teleop19.5
End5.4
Second
5800
#33
22.40.8
23.122.4
Auto2.2
Teleop17.1
End3.1
blue by 6.4
60
#8
28.82.4
26.428.8
Auto6.5
Teleop16.7
End5.6
Third
5824
#32
19.20.8
20.019.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End3.4
blue by 4.7
597
#35
23.92.4
21.523.9
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsMissed79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed