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Qual 862016 Las Vegas Regional
Red72
5859.6
84242.8
498424.5
Blue89
501233.8
349536.7
480020.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771000501507289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#11
42.80.4
43.5→43.1
Auto10.1
Teleop26.4
End6.3
red by 6.0
3495
#9
36.70.3
38.6→38.3
Auto7.5
Teleop26.2
End3.0
Second
4984
#23
24.50.4
24.9→24.5
Auto13.0
Teleop8.0
End3.4
blue by 9.3
5012
#4
33.80.3
34.1→33.8
Auto9.9
Teleop17.3
End6.5
Third
585
#48
9.60.4
10.0→9.6
Auto1.1
Teleop7.5
End0.9
blue by 11.0
4800
#39
20.50.4
20.9→20.5
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsMissed86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed