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Red105
325540.2
379422.1
544929.0
Blue87
301127.8
177222.8
585132.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958505015020025030010587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.6
41.141.7
Auto7.9
Teleop26.7
End5.6
red by 7.9
5851
#21
32.30.2
32.132.3
Auto9.6
Teleop17.5
End5.2
Second
5449
#24
29.00.7
28.329.0
Auto9.8
Teleop13.8
End5.4
red by 1.2
27.80.2
29.229.4
Auto11.0
Teleop13.4
End3.5
Third
3794
#14
22.10.6
21.522.1
Auto8.6
Teleop8.8
End4.7
blue by 0.7
1772
#30
22.80.3
22.522.8
Auto6.8
Teleop13.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed