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Red134
349132.2
98755.2
441526.2
Blue55
414118.9
586922.8
29526.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1216505010015020025013455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
55.21.7
53.955.6
Auto14.5
Teleop31.5
End9.2
red by 28.5
295
#27
26.71.1
27.926.8
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End3.4
Second
3491
#20
32.22.0
30.132.2
Auto11.2
Teleop13.2
End7.8
red by 9.4
5869
#19
22.81.1
23.922.8
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.2
Third
4415
#12
26.21.7
25.026.7
Auto7.3
Teleop15.9
End3.1
red by 7.3
4141
#38
18.91.1
20.018.9
Auto6.3
Teleop11.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed