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Red120
263837.5
520224.3
573628.2
Blue109
395028.4
260123.6
81031.8
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11410450150200120109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#18
37.50.0
37.537.5
Auto9.0
Teleop24.2
End4.2
red by 5.7
810
#22
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.6
Teleop17.9
End5.3
Second
5736
#16
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto9.3
Teleop13.3
End5.5
blue by 0.3
3950
#14
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto10.2
Teleop14.4
End3.9
Third
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto10.2
Teleop12.4
End1.7
red by 0.7
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto11.2
Teleop10.4
End2.0