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Red84
501631.1
509929.7
81031.8
Blue89
286923.0
26330.7
32941.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions979680901001101208489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
810
#22
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.6
Teleop17.9
End5.3
blue by 9.9
329
#3
41.70.0
41.741.7
Auto9.9
Teleop25.0
End6.7
Second
5016
#21
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End3.6
red by 0.4
263
#17
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto11.1
Teleop14.2
End5.4
Third
5099
#15
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto5.6
Teleop15.7
End8.4
red by 6.7
2869
#11
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
8%Capture odds8%Capture odds