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Red95
341939.6
412228.4
33517.3
Blue55
452821.3
436125.3
512312.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions935501509555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.0
39.639.6
Auto12.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
red by 14.3
4361
#10
25.30.0
25.325.3
Auto8.3
Teleop12.7
End4.3
Second
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto9.7
Teleop13.9
End4.8
red by 7.1
4528
#11
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto7.9
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Third
335
#5
17.30.0
17.317.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.3
End0.9
red by 5.0
5123
#12
12.30.0
12.312.3
Auto6.0
Teleop5.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach odds43%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds0%Capture odds