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Red56
286923.0
412228.4
436125.3
Blue77
33333.7
405537.6
512312.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77880501001502005677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto9.7
Teleop13.9
End4.8
blue by 9.2
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto10.6
Teleop21.0
End6.0
Second
4361
#10
25.30.0
25.325.3
Auto8.3
Teleop12.7
End4.3
blue by 8.5
333
#9
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto11.0
Teleop19.0
End3.8
Third
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End4.3
red by 10.7
5123
#12
12.30.0
12.312.3
Auto6.0
Teleop5.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach odds65%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds8%Capture odds