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Red197
32943.1
87042.1
287527.8
Blue130
163533.4
81031.8
56416.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1399250150200250197130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#6
43.10.9
41.542.4
Auto11.7
Teleop25.9
End5.5
red by 9.8
1635
#17
33.40.1
33.333.4
Auto9.9
Teleop18.1
End5.3
Second
870
#3
42.10.9
40.641.4
Auto8.4
Teleop26.5
End7.2
red by 10.3
810
#8
31.80.1
31.731.8
Auto8.6
Teleop17.9
End5.3
Third
2875
#31
27.81.1
25.926.9
Auto8.2
Teleop15.0
End4.5
red by 11.0
564
#47
16.80.1
16.716.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End2.2