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Red123
163533.4
146827.8
400633.1
Blue67
260123.6
35212.9
28738.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75735060809010011012012367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1635
#17
33.41.7
26.528.1
Auto9.9
Teleop18.1
End5.3
blue by 5.3
287
#7
38.70.4
36.736.3
Auto10.6
Teleop23.7
End4.4
Second
33.12.1
23.125.2
Auto7.7
Teleop19.1
End6.3
red by 9.5
2601
#19
23.60.6
20.820.2
Auto11.2
Teleop10.4
End2.0
Third
1468
#12
27.82.1
19.821.9
Auto10.8
Teleop13.0
End4.0
red by 14.9
352
#48
12.90.7
16.015.3
Auto3.1
Teleop9.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed