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Red83
395028.4
412226.2
49611.9
Blue57
362425.8
248728.5
56416.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6555204060801008357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3950
#28
28.42.4
21.924.3
Auto10.2
Teleop14.4
End3.9
blue by 0.1
2487
#37
28.50.4
17.216.8
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End5.6
Second
4122
#16
26.21.9
23.625.5
Auto9.1
Teleop14.0
End3.1
red by 0.4
3624
#26
25.80.2
23.022.7
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End4.5
Third
496
#49
11.92.4
16.018.4
Auto3.8
Teleop7.0
End1.1
blue by 4.9
564
#47
16.80.4
15.114.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsEarned28%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed