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Red86
27127.8
456723.4
160116.8
Blue101
313724.2
32943.1
163533.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47109010015086101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
271
#18
27.82.1
23.125.2
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End5.3
blue by 15.3
329
#6
43.10.3
42.042.3
Auto11.7
Teleop25.9
End5.5
Second
4567
#34
23.43.5
19.522.9
Auto8.9
Teleop9.3
End5.1
blue by 10.0
1635
#17
33.40.3
30.831.1
Auto9.9
Teleop18.1
End5.3
Third
1601
#45
16.83.5
12.315.8
Auto6.4
Teleop7.7
End2.7
blue by 7.4
3137
#10
24.20.5
23.824.3
Auto7.7
Teleop12.4
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed