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Red27
445827.7
35212.9
175113.8
Blue94
248728.5
87118.1
205328.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53730204060801001202794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4458
#22
27.73.1
23.620.5
Auto10.5
Teleop9.8
End7.4
blue by 0.9
2053
#24
28.61.1
30.431.5
Auto8.5
Teleop14.7
End5.3
Second
1751
#50
13.83.1
15.512.4
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End0.6
blue by 14.8
2487
#37
28.51.8
20.221.9
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End5.6
Third
352
#48
12.93.1
15.712.6
Auto3.1
Teleop9.1
End0.7
blue by 5.2
871
#36
18.11.8
17.519.3
Auto6.8
Teleop8.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed31%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed