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Red91
28738.7
395028.4
35821.5
Blue120
54520.9
115638.3
87042.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87866070809010011012091120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#7
38.70.5
38.338.8
Auto10.6
Teleop23.7
End4.4
blue by 3.4
870
#3
42.11.4
33.234.6
Auto8.4
Teleop26.5
End7.2
Second
3950
#28
28.40.8
25.426.2
Auto10.2
Teleop14.4
End3.9
blue by 9.8
38.31.4
37.839.2
Auto8.7
Teleop25.7
End3.8
Third
358
#33
21.50.5
20.220.7
Auto3.5
Teleop13.9
End4.1
red by 0.6
545
#39
20.92.3
13.215.5
Auto8.4
Teleop8.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed