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Red57
287527.8
287219.4
35324.3
Blue97
412226.2
153719.8
179638.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions608120401001201401605797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2875
#31
27.80.5
23.823.3
Auto8.2
Teleop15.0
End4.5
blue by 11.1
38.91.6
30.632.2
Auto12.9
Teleop21.7
End4.4
Second
353
#30
24.30.5
21.721.2
Auto8.8
Teleop11.9
End3.6
blue by 1.9
4122
#16
26.21.6
26.928.5
Auto9.1
Teleop14.0
End3.1
Third
2872
#44
19.40.5
15.815.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End3.2
blue by 0.4
1537
#42
19.82.4
17.720.1
Auto5.8
Teleop9.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsMissed72%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed