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Red111
248728.5
179638.9
88427.0
Blue71
60125.4
56921.5
51424.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97675015011171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.91.4
36.838.2
Auto12.9
Teleop21.7
End4.4
red by 13.5
601
#21
25.40.2
22.923.1
Auto9.1
Teleop12.5
End3.8
Second
2487
#37
28.52.4
24.727.1
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End5.6
red by 4.5
514
#46
24.00.2
24.124.3
Auto7.1
Teleop12.5
End4.4
Third
884
#23
27.02.2
28.330.5
Auto8.5
Teleop13.1
End5.5
red by 5.5
569
#38
21.50.2
22.522.7
Auto10.9
Teleop7.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed