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Red61
445827.7
287219.4
160116.8
Blue79
395028.4
26332.6
456723.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53890204060801001201406179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4458
#22
27.70.4
22.222.6
Auto10.5
Teleop9.8
End7.4
blue by 4.9
263
#20
32.60.5
29.929.4
Auto11.0
Teleop16.4
End5.2
Second
2872
#44
19.40.4
19.419.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End3.2
blue by 9.0
3950
#28
28.40.8
28.327.5
Auto10.2
Teleop14.4
End3.9
Third
1601
#45
16.80.4
15.415.9
Auto6.4
Teleop7.7
End2.7
blue by 6.5
4567
#34
23.40.8
22.722.0
Auto8.9
Teleop9.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsMissed93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed