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Red77
260123.6
520224.3
115638.3
Blue70
81031.8
153719.8
205328.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions948640601201401601807770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.9
42.241.3
Auto8.7
Teleop25.7
End3.8
red by 6.5
810
#8
31.81.3
30.028.7
Auto8.6
Teleop17.9
End5.3
Second
5202
#15
24.30.9
24.723.8
Auto10.2
Teleop12.4
End1.7
blue by 4.3
2053
#24
28.61.3
32.531.2
Auto8.5
Teleop14.7
End5.3
Third
2601
#19
23.60.9
23.522.6
Auto11.2
Teleop10.4
End2.0
red by 3.8
1537
#42
19.82.2
22.119.9
Auto5.8
Teleop9.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed