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Red103
81031.8
35324.3
26332.6
Blue77
395028.4
509929.7
175113.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8660020408010012010377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#20
32.61.2
29.430.6
Auto11.0
Teleop16.4
End5.2
red by 2.9
5099
#11
29.71.0
22.323.3
Auto5.6
Teleop15.7
End8.4
Second
810
#8
31.81.2
28.729.9
Auto8.6
Teleop17.9
End5.3
red by 3.4
3950
#28
28.41.0
27.528.5
Auto10.2
Teleop14.4
End3.9
Third
353
#30
24.31.9
21.723.6
Auto8.8
Teleop11.9
End3.6
red by 10.6
1751
#50
13.81.0
12.513.5
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed