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Red70
32943.1
15549.9
287219.4
Blue80
146827.8
445827.7
520224.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70802040601001201407080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#6
43.10.0
41.041.0
Auto11.7
Teleop25.9
End5.5
red by 15.4
1468
#12
27.80.3
27.327.7
Auto10.8
Teleop13.0
End4.0
Second
2872
#44
19.40.0
19.619.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End3.2
blue by 8.2
4458
#22
27.70.3
24.524.9
Auto10.5
Teleop9.8
End7.4
Third
1554
#51
9.90.0
9.29.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End0.6
blue by 14.4
5202
#15
24.30.2
24.524.8
Auto10.2
Teleop12.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed