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Red70
205328.6
51424.0
313724.2
Blue75
202720.3
28738.7
56921.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83826070901007075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2053
#24
28.60.7
30.830.1
Auto8.5
Teleop14.7
End5.3
blue by 10.1
287
#7
38.70.7
38.537.9
Auto10.6
Teleop23.7
End4.4
Second
3137
#10
24.20.9
24.823.8
Auto7.7
Teleop12.4
End4.2
red by 2.7
569
#38
21.51.0
22.721.7
Auto10.9
Teleop7.4
End3.3
Third
514
#46
24.00.9
24.323.3
Auto7.1
Teleop12.5
End4.4
red by 3.7
2027
#27
20.31.0
18.717.8
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed