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Red12
80623.5
503028.3
320418.0
Blue14
160012.6
166017.0
55997.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58512040801214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.34.8
23.718.9
Auto9.2
Teleop14.5
End4.6
red by 11.3
1660
#48DQ
17.04.1
18.514.4
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End3.0
Second
806
#22
23.54.8
16.511.7
Auto10.3
Teleop9.6
End3.7
red by 10.9
1600
#41
12.64.1
16.812.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End2.2
Third
3204
#34
18.04.8
15.310.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End2.1
red by 10.6
5599
#63
7.44.1
15.411.4
Auto0.9
Teleop6.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed