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Red26
179625.9
594616.7
154619.9
Blue54
64017.1
429914.6
69426.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585530405070802654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#10
25.93.3
22.519.1
Auto7.5
Teleop15.1
End3.2
blue by 0.7
694
#8
26.60.5
22.522.0
Auto7.5
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Second
1546
#49
19.93.3
17.814.5
Auto2.2
Teleop9.9
End7.8
red by 2.7
640
#36
17.10.5
16.215.6
Auto3.2
Teleop11.4
End2.6
Third
5946
#33
16.74.4
16.712.3
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End3.6
red by 2.0
4299
#56DQ
14.60.5
15.114.5
Auto6.3
Teleop8.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed