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Red42
55997.4
188016.3
551518.5
Blue65
578118.8
452821.3
589121.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394301020305060704265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5515
#55
18.50.4
14.514.9
Auto7.6
Teleop8.7
End2.1
blue by 3.4
5891
#27
21.92.7
16.619.3
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End3.5
Second
1880
#61
16.30.4
13.013.4
Auto3.0
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 5.0
4528
#30
21.32.7
14.216.9
Auto7.9
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Third
5599
#63
7.40.4
11.011.4
Auto0.9
Teleop6.0
End0.5
blue by 11.4
18.82.7
10.112.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
18%Breach oddsMissed18%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed