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Red47
300414.4
501626.1
160012.6
Blue62
115513.8
599320.0
154619.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424902060804762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5016
#28
26.10.5
15.516.0
Auto6.1
Teleop16.4
End3.5
red by 6.1
5993
#15
20.01.7
16.418.2
Auto3.6
Teleop11.3
End5.1
Second
3004
#53
14.40.5
12.312.8
Auto1.8
Teleop11.3
End1.3
blue by 5.5
1546
#49
19.91.7
14.516.3
Auto2.2
Teleop9.9
End7.8
Third
1600
#41
12.60.5
14.314.9
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End2.2
blue by 1.1
1155
#20
13.81.7
15.417.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
20%Breach oddsMissed27%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed