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Red22
376011.7
57828.0
60148.5
Blue80
448118.8
257920.4
426315.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573402040801001202280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
578
#4
28.03.3
26.423.0
Auto8.3
Teleop14.4
End5.3
red by 7.6
2579
#32
20.44.3
10.214.5
Auto6.8
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Second
3760
#50
11.73.3
14.010.6
Auto0.1
Teleop9.4
End2.1
blue by 7.1
4481
#46
18.84.3
15.720.0
Auto2.0
Teleop14.0
End2.8
Third
6014
#62
8.53.3
11.88.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End2.0
blue by 7.4
4263
#45
15.94.3
10.614.9
Auto2.4
Teleop6.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsMissed15%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed