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Red12
464017.8
512312.3
542117.3
Blue20
60148.5
578118.8
139615.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4849152535404550551220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4640
#57
17.83.9
16.112.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End1.8
blue by 1.0
18.83.6
14.611.0
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End4.0
Second
5421
#31
17.33.9
15.211.3
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End2.3
red by 1.6
1396
#42
15.73.6
17.013.4
Auto2.1
Teleop9.4
End4.2
Third
5123
#59
12.33.9
15.811.9
Auto6.0
Teleop5.1
End1.1
red by 3.8
6014
#62
8.53.6
8.512.1
Auto2.4
Teleop4.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed35%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed