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Red22
33427.3
619511.9
286923.0
Blue50
33517.3
300414.4
37524.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53510204060801002250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
334
#18
27.33.3
20.617.3
Auto5.7
Teleop16.9
End4.6
red by 2.9
375
#1
24.41.1
17.816.7
Auto8.0
Teleop13.0
End3.3
Second
2869
#43
23.03.3
15.312.0
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End4.3
red by 5.7
335
#38
17.31.1
16.015.0
Auto6.1
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Third
6195
#58
11.90.5
11.912.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.9
End1.8
blue by 2.5
3004
#53
14.41.1
15.714.7
Auto1.8
Teleop11.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed