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Qual 662016 New York City Regional
Red89
69426.6
595524.4
37524.4
Blue53
589121.9
36466.8
448118.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68500204060801001208953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#8
26.62.3
18.9→21.2
Auto7.5
Teleop15.7
End3.4
red by 4.7
5891
#27
21.90.4
19.1→18.7
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End3.5
Second
375
#1
24.42.3
24.6→27.0
Auto8.0
Teleop13.0
End3.3
red by 5.6
4481
#46
18.80.4
20.6→20.2
Auto2.0
Teleop14.0
End2.8
Third
5955
#17
24.42.3
19.5→21.9
Auto5.8
Teleop14.2
End4.3
red by 17.6
3646
#65
6.80.4
11.9→11.5
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned19%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed