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Qual 672016 New York City Regional
Red85
80623.5
305318.5
412220.3
Blue100
578118.8
594616.7
341937.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5364020408010012085100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
806
#22
23.52.4
19.7→22.2
Auto10.3
Teleop9.6
End3.7
blue by 13.7
3419
#3
37.32.2
34.1→36.3
Auto7.8
Teleop23.2
End6.3
Second
4122
#54
20.32.4
18.3→20.8
Auto7.3
Teleop10.1
End2.8
red by 1.5
5781
#9
18.82.2
15.1→17.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End4.0
Third
3053
#12
18.52.4
15.0→17.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End4.4
red by 1.8
5946
#33
16.72.2
11.3→13.5
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned38%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed