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Red79
452821.3
57828.0
401219.7
Blue77
179723.5
33322.6
300414.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61522040801001207977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
578
#4
28.01.8
25.026.8
Auto8.3
Teleop14.4
End5.3
red by 4.5
1797
#14
23.52.8
21.824.6
Auto3.6
Teleop17.8
End2.0
Second
4528
#30
21.31.8
18.019.8
Auto7.9
Teleop10.3
End3.0
blue by 1.3
333
#21
22.62.8
18.921.8
Auto3.8
Teleop15.4
End3.4
Third
4012
#35
19.71.8
14.716.5
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End3.3
red by 5.3
3004
#53
14.42.8
10.913.7
Auto1.8
Teleop11.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed