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Red62
555810.9
520220.5
429914.6
Blue44
376011.7
139615.7
55997.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403702060801006244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5202
#16
20.52.0
17.719.8
Auto7.7
Teleop9.5
End3.2
red by 4.8
1396
#42
15.70.3
17.417.7
Auto2.1
Teleop9.4
End4.2
Second
4299
#56
14.62.0
12.114.2
Auto6.3
Teleop8.6
End-0.2
red by 3.0
3760
#50
11.70.3
11.812.1
Auto0.1
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Third
5558
#40
10.92.0
8.710.8
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End1.3
red by 3.4
5599
#63
7.40.3
7.07.3
Auto0.9
Teleop6.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
22%Breach oddsEarned21%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed