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Red72
300333.8
188023.4
176516.1
Blue103
155931.6
318122.1
263833.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60820204010012014072103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#28
33.80.7
29.930.5
Auto7.6
Teleop21.4
End4.8
red by 0.5
33.32.9
24.327.2
Auto7.7
Teleop21.0
End4.6
Second
1880
#38
23.40.8
18.419.1
Auto3.8
Teleop13.9
End5.7
blue by 8.2
1559
#25
31.61.8
31.633.3
Auto7.0
Teleop18.9
End5.7
Third
1765
#48
16.11.1
13.514.6
Auto1.7
Teleop12.3
End2.1
blue by 6.0
3181
#34
22.11.8
20.822.5
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed