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Red101
525448.2
315720.2
155129.1
Blue96
150734.7
395126.5
140532.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9279406010012014010196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.20.6
46.346.9
Auto11.8
Teleop29.7
End6.7
red by 13.4
34.70.8
34.435.2
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End6.2
Second
1551
#43
29.10.6
23.223.8
Auto6.4
Teleop15.0
End7.7
blue by 3.4
1405
#31
32.51.4
25.226.6
Auto6.5
Teleop16.8
End9.2
Third
3157
#33
20.21.0
17.618.6
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End4.1
blue by 6.3
3951
#21
26.51.4
18.820.2
Auto8.0
Teleop14.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned