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Red91
19131.8
188023.4
155129.1
Blue116
34032.7
57832.0
63935.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71932040608010012014091116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
#19
31.81.5
28.630.1
Auto8.1
Teleop18.4
End5.3
blue by 3.5
639
#11
35.31.9
27.429.3
Auto9.8
Teleop16.8
End8.8
Second
1551
#43
29.10.9
23.824.7
Auto6.4
Teleop15.0
End7.7
blue by 3.6
340
#23
32.71.9
29.331.2
Auto7.0
Teleop21.1
End4.6
Third
1880
#38
23.40.9
19.920.8
Auto3.8
Teleop13.9
End5.7
blue by 8.6
578
#16
32.01.9
30.332.2
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned