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Red91
39526.3
222827.5
238334.5
Blue96
176516.1
525448.2
81030.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions839040601001201409196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#39
34.50.6
31.932.5
Auto10.2
Teleop17.8
End6.4
blue by 13.7
48.20.6
46.947.5
Auto11.8
Teleop29.7
End6.7
Second
2228
#20
27.50.6
26.226.8
Auto6.7
Teleop16.3
End4.4
blue by 3.0
810
#12
30.51.0
25.126.1
Auto8.3
Teleop15.7
End6.5
Third
395
#30
26.30.6
23.824.4
Auto9.3
Teleop13.7
End3.3
red by 10.2
1765
#48
16.11.0
14.615.7
Auto1.7
Teleop12.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned