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Qual 502016 Finger Lakes Regional
Red80
57832.0
234025.2
81030.5
Blue44
318122.1
150734.7
383820.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87820501001508044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
578
#16
32.00.2
32.2→32.0
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End4.6
blue by 2.8
1507
#8
34.72.4
36.6→34.2
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End6.2
Second
810
#12
30.50.4
26.1→25.8
Auto8.3
Teleop15.7
End6.5
red by 8.4
3181
#34
22.12.4
22.9→20.5
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Third
2340
#22
25.20.2
25.0→24.8
Auto9.2
Teleop10.2
End5.9
red by 4.4
3838
#47
20.84.0
20.8→16.8
Auto5.9
Teleop11.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed