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Red72
300333.8
112630.6
151825.4
Blue47
140530.4
158520.6
503033.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9486501507247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#30
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto7.6
Teleop21.4
End4.8
red by 0.5
33.30.0
33.333.3
Auto8.7
Teleop22.6
End2.0
Second
1126
#15
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
red by 0.2
1405
#24
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto9.0
Teleop16.3
End5.1
Third
1518
#33
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto7.6
Teleop9.8
End8.0
red by 4.8
1585
#22
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds81%Breach odds
Capture
10%Capture odds2%Capture odds