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Red60
317329.2
304441.2
37828.2
Blue86
155129.1
383820.8
150734.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104840501502006086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#28
41.20.0
41.241.2
Auto9.6
Teleop24.8
End6.8
red by 6.5
1507
#29
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End6.2
Second
3173
#16
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End4.4
red by 0.1
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto6.4
Teleop15.0
End7.7
Third
378
#14
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto9.5
Teleop15.0
End3.7
red by 7.4
3838
#27
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto5.9
Teleop11.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach odds73%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds3%Capture odds