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Red69
151825.4
317329.2
63939.8
Blue75
37828.2
540647.7
649015.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98944060801201401606975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
#4
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto10.3
Teleop19.1
End10.4
blue by 7.9
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto11.6
Teleop25.0
End11.1
Second
3173
#16
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End4.4
red by 0.9
378
#14
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto9.5
Teleop15.0
End3.7
Third
1518
#33
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto7.6
Teleop9.8
End8.0
red by 9.8
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach odds86%Breach odds
Capture
11%Capture odds5%Capture odds