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Red54
19134.7
300333.8
150734.7
Blue86
34032.7
403940.9
155933.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109108607080901001201305486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#29
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End6.2
blue by 6.2
4039
#10
40.90.0
40.940.9
Auto16.8
Teleop19.9
End4.2
Second
191
#3
34.70.0
34.734.7
Auto10.0
Teleop19.4
End5.3
red by 0.8
1559
#25
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto6.9
Teleop21.6
End5.4
Third
3003
#30
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto7.6
Teleop21.4
End4.8
red by 1.1
340
#32
32.70.0
32.732.7
Auto7.0
Teleop21.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
14%Capture odds26%Capture odds