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Red79
25026.3
587913.5
279131.9
Blue85
37111.0
485619.8
35953.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58930501507985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2791
#10
31.91.4
24.625.9
Auto7.5
Teleop19.6
End4.8
blue by 21.8
359
#1
53.70.0
48.948.9
Auto14.4
Teleop32.0
End7.3
Second
250
#9
26.31.4
22.023.4
Auto9.0
Teleop11.5
End5.8
red by 6.5
4856
#31
19.80.0
17.417.3
Auto2.9
Teleop13.5
End3.5
Third
5879
#32
13.51.4
15.116.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End2.7
red by 2.5
371
#25
11.00.0
19.119.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed